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Your third-last paragraph gives the game away--you're clearly as motivated by a domestic politics-driven agenda (isolationism) as Allison is (by internationalism). A serious analysis of the nature and degree of the threat posed to the US by the current Chinese regime would--as you yourself concede--involve detailed study of the regime itself, its leaders and their goals, roles and incentives, as well as a prior understanding of the US and its concrete global interests and priorities. Broad, vague historical claims about great power competition can't answer these difficult questions--but neither can facile 60s-radical slogans about an evil US military industrial complex. Unfortunately, the alternative--serious, clear-eyed analysis of America's national interests and its interactions with current global conditions--is simply nowhere to be found in the intellectually bereft, partisanship-scarred landscape of contemporary international relations scholarship.

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Great piece. I would like to hear your take on Mearscheimer’s work. Your examples from the 20th Century all require the US as ultimate guarantor of the peace.

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What do you think of "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" by John Mearsheimer?

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